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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2021-11-24T17:09Z

Model Inputs:
2021-11-24T14:09:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-3.0, Lat.=-16.0, Speed=561.0, HalfAngle=31.0, Time21.5=2021-11-24T19:47Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2021-11-27T13:24Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -8.4 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 21.0 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.1
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=3
(kp)135=5
(kp)180=5

Other Location(s) Impact:
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2021-11-27T13:45Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2021-11-28T01:00Z (Glancing Blow) [PE: -16.2 hr]
STEREO B with estimated shock arrival time 2021-11-27T14:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211124_194700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2021-11-24T17:11Z by Robert Loper

A Notification with ID 20211124-AL-001 was sent on 2021-11-24T17:21Z
A Notification with ID 20211125-AL-001 was sent on 2021-11-25T12:20Z

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